Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001082 0.001227 0.001372 0.001530 0.001696 0.001863 0.002046
2025-05-18 0.000746 0.000957 0.001181 0.001434 0.001708 0.001994 0.002314
2025-05-25 0.000513 0.000768 0.001054 0.001391 0.001768 0.002173 0.002634
2025-06-01 0.000325 0.000601 0.000932 0.001340 0.001812 0.002330 0.002932
2025-06-08 0.000200 0.000482 0.000851 0.001325 0.001890 0.002523 0.003269
2025-06-15 0.000130 0.000419 0.000829 0.001375 0.002040 0.002796 0.003696
2025-06-22 0.000061 0.000333 0.000762 0.001362 0.002112 0.002977 0.004018
2025-06-29 0.000022 0.000269 0.000717 0.001370 0.002204 0.003178 0.004361
2025-07-06 0.000006 0.000238 0.000714 0.001429 0.002357 0.003450 0.004784
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000179 0.000655 0.001408 0.002407 0.003597 0.005062
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000123 0.000588 0.001369 0.002429 0.003709 0.005296
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000102 0.000580 0.001412 0.002554 0.003942 0.005669
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000062 0.000527 0.001395 0.002616 0.004116 0.005997
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000019 0.000433 0.001310 0.002586 0.004181 0.006200
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000002 0.000375 0.001273 0.002621 0.004326 0.006500
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000316 0.001227 0.002640 0.004451 0.006778
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000279 0.001215 0.002704 0.004632 0.007122
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001264 0.002855 0.004923 0.007600
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000243 0.001254 0.002918 0.005102 0.007942
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000222 0.001262 0.003007 0.005312 0.008322
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000225 0.001319 0.003168 0.005615 0.008813
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000194 0.001299 0.003213 0.005768 0.009121
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000159 0.001262 0.003230 0.005882 0.009379